Toulouse win (1)
48%
2.08
OddScore Pick
48%
Toulouse vs Strasbourg Prediction & Tips
Ligue 1
• Round 10
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Friday, 6 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC
Stadium de Toulouse
Stadium de Toulouse
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
46%
8 bookmakers
Model
48%
48%
Probability Distribution
Home (48%) / Draw (24%) / Away (28%)
Strasbourg win (2)
28%
3.51
Draw (X)
24%
3.98
Probability Distribution
Yes — 58% | No — 42%
Both teams to score — Yes
58%
1.53
Both teams to score — No
42%
2.37
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.57
Under 2.5 goals
43%
2.37
Yes
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Toulouse win in this fixture, with a confidence of 48%. Toulouse come into this one having taken 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.64 expected goals for and 1.48 against.
Strasbourg arrive with 0-1-4 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. At the current price of 2.08 that leaves a 4.8% edge over the market.
Toulouse Form
Oct 25
Troyes
0 - 0
D
Oct 16
Le Mans
3 - 0
W
Oct 10
Monaco
2 - 2
D
Sep 19
Le Havre
3 - 2
W
Sep 12
Lorient
2 - 2
D
Strasbourg Form
Oct 25
Rennes
0 - 3
L
Oct 17
Paris Saint Germain
1 - 3
L
Oct 11
Nice
1 - 2
L
Sep 19
Paris
1 - 2
L
Sep 12
Monaco
1 - 1
D
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 3, 2026
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Toulouse
Stade de la Meinau
Dec 6, 2025
Toulouse
1 - 0
Strasbourg
Stadium de Toulouse
Mar 16, 2025
Strasbourg
2 - 1
Toulouse
Stade de la Meinau
Jan 12, 2025
Toulouse
1 - 2
Strasbourg
Stadium de Toulouse
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.64
xG per match
1.1
1.48
xG against
1.94
12.9
Shots per match
12.1
51.8
Possession, %
45.9
12
Goals this season
12
50
Both teams scored, %
75
62.5
Over 2.5, %
87.5