Troyes vs Le Mans Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 9
Troyes
Troyes
versus
Le Mans
Le Mans
Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 19:45 UTC Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 41% 17 bookmakers Model 44%
Probability Distribution Home (44%) / Draw (26%) / Away (30%)
Troyes win (1) 44%
2.39 OddScore Pick
Le Mans win (2) 30%
3.20
Draw (X) 26%
3.60
Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%
Both teams to score — Yes 54%
1.70
Both teams to score — No 46%
2.25
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 50% | Under — 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
1.89
Under 2.5 goals 50%
2.06
Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 50% vs Under — 50% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 41% +6.7% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Troyes host Le Mans in Ligue 1’s ninth round, with the model giving the home side a 43.89% probability of victory. The draw is rated at 26%, while Le Mans have a 30.11% chance of winning. Troyes sit 17th after eight matches, with one win, two draws and five defeats, and a goals record of 5:16. Le Mans are 15th, having won once, drawn four times and lost three, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded.

The teams’ scoring profiles differ considerably. Both teams scored in 37.5% of Troyes’ matches this season, compared with 87.5% for Le Mans. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 37.5% of Troyes’ games and 75% of Le Mans’ matches. The model gives over 2.5 goals a 50.35% probability and both teams to score a 54.47% probability, while over 1.5 goals is rated at 74.68%. Troyes will be without Anis Ouzenadji, Ismaël Boura, N. de Préville, Paolo Gozzi, Yacouba Kone and Yvann Titi through injury. Le Mans have Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa, Erwan Colas, Harold Voyer, Martin Rossignol, Nicolas Kocik, Théo Eyoum and Yasser Larouci injured, with Djibril Sidibé suspended.

Troyes Form

Oct 25 Toulouse 0 - 0 D
Oct 17 Lens 1 - 3 L
Oct 11 Olympique Marseille 0 - 2 L
Sep 19 Angers SCO 0 - 2 L
Sep 13 LOSC Lille 0 - 2 L

Le Mans Form

Oct 25 Auxerre 1 - 1 D
Oct 16 Toulouse 0 - 3 L
Oct 10 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 L
Sep 19 Lorient 2 - 1 W
Sep 13 Lens 2 - 2 D

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Troyes Le Mans
1.14
xG per match
1.46
1.53
xG against
1.86
13.6
Shots per match
10.5
38.8
Possession, %
43.9
5
Goals this season
11
37.5
Both teams scored, %
87.5
37.5
Over 2.5, %
75