TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 7

TSG Hoffenheim

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 14:30 UTC

PreZero Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 17 bookmakers Model 53%

Probability Distribution Home (26%) / Draw (21%) / Away (53%)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen win (2) 53%

2.35 OddScore Pick

TSG Hoffenheim win (1) 26%

3.30

Draw (X) 21%

4.42

Probability Distribution Yes — 68% | No — 32%

Both teams to score — Yes 68%

1.33

Both teams to score — No 32%

3.50

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 70% | Under — 30%

Over 2.5 goals 70%

1.32

Under 2.5 goals 30%

3.53

Both teams to score Yes — 68% vs No — 32% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 70% vs Under — 30% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 46% +15.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Bayer 04 Leverkusen win in this fixture, with a confidence of 53%. TSG Hoffenheim come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.99 expected goals for and 1.29 against.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive with 4-0-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%. At the current price of 2.35 that leaves a 15.6% edge over the market.

TSG Hoffenheim Form

Oct 25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 0 W

Oct 22 Olympique Lyonnais 3 - 0 W

Oct 18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 Beşiktaş 2 - 3 L

Oct 10 Hamburger SV 2 - 3 L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

Oct 25 TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 3 L

Oct 22 OFI 2 - 0 W

Oct 18 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 Lech Poznań 4 - 0 W

Oct 10 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 3 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Jan 17, 2026 TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen PreZero Arena

Aug 23, 2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 2 TSG Hoffenheim BayArena

Feb 2, 2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim BayArena

Sep 14, 2024 TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen PreZero Arena

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

TSG Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.99

xG per match

2.06

1.29

xG against

1.5

18.1

Shots per match

18.1

55.1

Possession, %

57.9

Goals this season

85.71

Both teams scored, %

57.14

100

Over 2.5, %

85.71