TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 3
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim
versus
Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais
Thursday, 22 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC PreZero Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 56% 18 bookmakers Model 41%
Probability Distribution Home (41%) / Draw (24%) / Away (35%)
TSG Hoffenheim win (1) 41%
1.95 OddScore Pick
Olympique Lyonnais win (2) 35%
4.75
Draw (X) 24%
4.55
Probability Distribution Yes — 59% | No — 41%
Both teams to score — Yes 59%
1.50
Both teams to score — No 41%
2.70
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
1.45
Under 2.5 goals 41%
2.85
Both teams to score Yes — 59% vs No — 41% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 41% | Market: 56% -26.9% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

TSG Hoffenheim host Olympique Lyonnais in round 3 of the Europa League, and the model gives the home side a slight edge. Hoffenheim are rated at 40.66% to win, with the draw at 23.99% and a Lyon win at 35.32%. The best available bookmaker prices are 2.07 for the home side, 4.11 for the draw and 3.55 for the away side. The teams last met on 2024-11-07, when Hoffenheim and Lyon drew 2:2.

Form this season points the other way. Lyon have played two and won both, with a goals record of 5:3. Both teams scored in each of those games, and both went over 2.5 goals. Hoffenheim have lost both of their matches, with a goals record of 2:5. Both teams scored and the game went over 2.5 goals in one of those two matches. Both sides have a thin sample of just two games, so the form figures should be read with caution.

Absences are heavy on both sides. Hoffenheim are without twelve players. Andrej Kramaric, Albian Hajdari, Alexander Prass, Dennis Geiger, Fisnik Asllani, Grischa Prömel, Ihlas Bebou, Ozan Kabak and Patrick Wimmer are injured. Bernardo, Luis Engelns and Tim Lemperle are suspended. Lyon have eight players unavailable. Mohamed Ouédraogo, Moussa Niakhaté and Nicolás Tagliafico are injured. Alejandro Gomes Rodríguez, Duje Caleta-Car, Mahamadou Diawara, Paul Akouokou and Zachary Athekame are suspended.

On goals, the model puts both teams scoring at 59.24%. It gives over 2.5 goals 59.25% and over 3.5 goals 38.19%, while over 1.5 stands at 80.58%. The bookmaker price on over 2.5 is 1.5, and on both teams scoring it is 1.44. These are probabilities rather than certainties, and the match could go either way.

TSG Hoffenheim Form

Oct 25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 0 W
Oct 22 Olympique Lyonnais 3 - 0 W
Oct 18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1 W
Oct 15 Beşiktaş 2 - 3 L
Oct 10 Hamburger SV 2 - 3 L

Olympique Lyonnais Form

Oct 26 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 2 L
Oct 22 TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 3 L
Oct 18 Nice 2 - 1 W
Oct 15 Crystal Palace 3 - 2 W
Oct 9 Lens 1 - 2 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Nov 7, 2024 TSG Hoffenheim 2 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais PreZero Arena

Key Stats & Team Metrics

TSG Hoffenheim Olympique Lyonnais
1.72
xG per match
1.67
1.45
xG against
1.87
18.3
Shots per match
10.7
54.7
Possession, %
49.7
5
Goals this season
5
33.33
Both teams scored, %
66.67
66.67
Over 2.5, %
100