Udinese vs Lecce Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Udinese host Lecce in Round 7 of Serie A, with both sides in the lower half of the table. Udinese are 15th after six matches (one win, one draw, four defeats, with nine goals scored and 13 conceded). Lecce are 13th with two wins and four defeats, and a goal difference of 6:12. The model gives Udinese the edge at home, with a 43.93% chance of a home win, 26.09% for a draw and 29.95% for an away win. The best available bookmaker odds of 1.91 for the home side, 3.72 for the draw and 4.63 for Lecce point the same way. Lecce's chance in the model is somewhat higher than the 4.63 price would suggest.

Both teams have been involved in open games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 66.67% of matches for each side this season. Udinese have seen both teams score in 83.33% of their games, against 33.33% for Lecce. The model puts both teams scoring at 53.66% and over 2.5 goals at 51.14%, which is close to an even split. It rates over 1.5 goals at 73.94%, while over 3.5 sits at 29.16% and over 4.5 at 16.65%.

Recent head-to-head meetings are tight and fairly low scoring. Udinese won 3:2 in October 2025 and 1:0 in October 2024. Lecce won 2:1 in February 2026 and lost 0:1 in February 2025. Both sides have injury problems. Udinese are without seven players: Giorgi Chakvetadze, Idrissa Gueye, Jakub Piotrowski, Juan Arizala, Matteo Palma, Nicolò Zaniolo and Oumar Solet. Lecce are missing four: Jeppe Corfitzen, Medon Berisha, Omri Gandelman and Willem Geubbels. These absences add uncertainty, and the probabilities above describe likelihoods, not a guaranteed result.