Real Madrid win (2)
64%
1.43
OddScore Pick
64%
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips
La Liga
• Round 12
Valencia
Real Madrid
Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC
Estadio de Mestalla
Estadio de Mestalla
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
69%
8 bookmakers
Model
64%
64%
Probability Distribution
Home (15%) / Draw (21%) / Away (64%)
Draw (X)
21%
5.70
Valencia win (1)
15%
7.50
Probability Distribution
No — 51% | Yes — 49%
Both teams to score — No
51%
2.10
Both teams to score — Yes
49%
1.66
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 55% | Under — 45%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.44
Under 2.5 goals
45%
2.75
No
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards an Real Madrid win in this fixture, with a confidence of 64%. Valencia come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.04 expected goals for and 1.44 against.
Real Madrid arrive with 5-0-0 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. At the current price of 1.43 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.
Valencia Form
Oct 24
Villarreal
1 - 2
L
Oct 17
Athletic Club
0 - 0
D
Oct 11
Racing Santander
2 - 2
D
Sep 20
Real Sociedad
2 - 3
L
Sep 15
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
W
Real Madrid Form
Oct 25
FC Barcelona
2 - 1
W
Oct 21
RB Leipzig
4 - 1
W
Oct 18
Sevilla
4 - 1
W
Oct 14
Roma
4 - 3
W
Oct 10
Villarreal
1 - 0
W
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 8, 2026
Valencia
0 - 2
Real Madrid
Estadio de Mestalla
Nov 1, 2025
Real Madrid
4 - 0
Valencia
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Apr 5, 2025
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Jan 3, 2025
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
Estadio de Mestalla
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Valencia
Real Madrid
1.04
xG per match
2.1
1.44
xG against
1.18
10.9
Shots per match
16.8
45.5
Possession, %
51.7
7
Goals this season
25
40
Both teams scored, %
70
50
Over 2.5, %
80