VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 7
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
versus
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Friday, 23 October 2026 — 18:30 UTC MHPArena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 71% 17 bookmakers Model 56%
Probability Distribution Home (56%) / Draw (22%) / Away (22%)
VfB Stuttgart win (1) 56%
1.37 OddScore Pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach win (2) 22%
8.30
Draw (X) 22%
6.35
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
1.50
Both teams to score — No 45%
2.70
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 58% | Under — 42%
Over 2.5 goals 58%
1.28
Under 2.5 goals 42%
3.90
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 58% vs Under — 42% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 56% | Market: 71% -20.6% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in Round 7 of the Bundesliga, and the model makes the home side clear favourites. It gives Stuttgart a 57.84% chance of winning, the draw 21.46% and an away win 20.71%. Neither side has started the season well. Stuttgart sit 13th with two wins and four defeats from six games, and a goal difference of 8:10. Gladbach are 18th, having lost all six matches with 8 goals scored and 20 conceded.

The head-to-head record also leans toward the home side. Stuttgart won three of the last four meetings, including a 3:0 away win in January 2026 and a 1:0 home win in August 2025. Gladbach's only win in that run was 2:1 in Stuttgart in February 2025. Both squads have long absence lists. Stuttgart are without 35 players listed as injured or suspended, among them Angelo Stiller, Chris Führich and Jeff Chabot, with Justin Diehl, Leonidas Stergiou and Stefan Drljaca suspended. Gladbach have 16 players out injured, including Tim Kleindienst, Ko Itakura and Kevin Diks. Because of these lists, the lineups are hard to predict.

On goals, the model puts both teams scoring at 55.59% and fewer than 3.5 goals at 62.29%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 59.11% and over 1.5 at 80.31%. Gladbach's matches have been open this season: all six went over 2.5 goals and 66.67% had both teams scoring. Stuttgart's games have been more balanced, at 50% for each. These are probabilities rather than certainties, and given the injuries on both sides the match could go several ways.

VfB Stuttgart Form

Oct 23 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 3 L
Oct 20 Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Hamburger SV 0 - 1 L
Oct 14 Slovan Bratislava 3 - 0 W
Oct 10 Paderborn 2 - 0 W

Borussia Mönchengladbach Form

Oct 23 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 W
Oct 18 TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 2 L
Oct 11 FC Köln 1 - 2 L
Sep 19 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 L
Sep 12 SC Freiburg 0 - 5 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 25, 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart Stadion im Borussia-Park
Aug 30, 2025 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach MHPArena
Feb 1, 2025 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach MHPArena
Sep 14, 2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart Stadion im Borussia-Park

Key Stats & Team Metrics

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
xG per match
1.68
1.94
xG against
2.59
16.9
Shots per match
15.3
56.6
Possession, %
45.7
10
Goals this season
11
57.14
Both teams scored, %
71.43
57.14
Over 2.5, %
100