Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 3
Viktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň
versus
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
Thursday, 22 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC Doosan Aréna

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 55% 18 bookmakers Model 45%
Probability Distribution Home (45%) / Draw (25%) / Away (30%)
Viktoria Plzeň win (1) 45%
1.78 OddScore Pick
Levski Sofia win (2) 30%
5.00
Draw (X) 25%
3.90
Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%
Both teams to score — Yes 51%
1.82
Both teams to score — No 49%
2.05
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 50% | Under — 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
1.95
Under 2.5 goals 50%
2.00
Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 50% vs Under — 50% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 45% | Market: 55% -18.0% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Viktoria Plzeň host Levski Sofia in round 3 of the Europa League, and the model gives the home side the edge without making them clear favourites. Plzeň are rated at 44.78% to win, with the draw at 25.12% and a Levski victory at 30.10%. The best bookmaker prices are 1.81 for the home side, 4.06 for the draw and 4.51 for the away side. Plzeň's season has been uneven: one win in four matches, three defeats, and a goal record of 6:9. They sit 44th in the league phase table. Levski are 52nd after two matches, with one draw and one defeat and a goal record of 1:2.

Availability could shape the contest. Plzeň will be without David Krcik and Vaclav Jemelka through suspension, and Jan Paluska and Vaclav Mika are injured. Levski's list is much longer. Akram Bouras, Asen Mitkov, Christian Makoun, Maicon, Mustapha Sangaré, Nikola Serafimov and Stipe Vulikic are injured, while Oliver Kamdem and Radoslav Kirilov are suspended. That is nine players unavailable for the visitors against four for the hosts, which fits with the model's lean towards Plzeň.

In the goals markets, the model sees a fairly balanced game. Both teams to score is put at 51.44%, against 48.56% for no. The over 2.5 goals line is almost an even call at 50.23%, with the under at 49.77%. The model puts over 1.5 goals at 73.92% and over 3.5 at 28.08%. Plzeň's four matches this season have all gone over 2.5 goals, while Levski's two have not, so the sample is small and the signals conflict. These figures are probabilities, not forecasts of a specific result, and a draw or an away win remains a realistic outcome.

Viktoria Plzeň Form

Oct 22 Levski Sofia 1 - 2 L
Oct 15 Ferencvárosi 1 - 2 L
Sep 17 Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 3 L
Aug 27 Crvena Zvezda 5 - 1 W
Aug 20 Crvena Zvezda 0 - 3 L

Levski Sofia Form

Oct 22 Viktoria Plzeň 2 - 1 W
Oct 15 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 D
Sep 17 Salzburg 0 - 1 L
Aug 26 AEK Athens 0 - 4 L
Aug 18 AEK Athens 0 - 0 D

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Viktoria Plzeň Levski Sofia
2.66
xG per match
1.09
1.6
xG against
1.31
18.4
Shots per match
9.3
50
Possession, %
49.7
7
Goals this season
3
60
Both teams scored, %
66.67
100
Over 2.5, %
33.33