Villarreal vs Getafe Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 12
Villarreal
Villarreal
versus
Getafe
Getafe
Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 17:30 UTC Estadio de la Cerámica

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 63% 11 bookmakers Model 60%
Probability Distribution Home (60%) / Draw (23%) / Away (17%)
Villarreal win (1) 60%
1.55 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 23%
4.45
Getafe win (2) 17%
6.83
Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%
Both teams to score — Yes 51%
2.00
Both teams to score — No 49%
1.75
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
1.90
Under 2.5 goals 46%
1.90
Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 60% | Market: 63% -4.7% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Villarreal win in this fixture, with a confidence of 60%. Villarreal come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.86 expected goals for and 1.11 against.

Getafe arrive with 0-2-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 1.55 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Villarreal Form

Oct 30 Espanyol 0 - 1 L
Oct 24 Valencia 2 - 1 W
Oct 20 Liverpool 3 - 4 L
Oct 17 Elche 0 - 0 D
Oct 13 Napoli 3 - 1 W

Getafe Form

Oct 25 Athletic Club 0 - 4 L
Oct 22 Lugano 2 - 5 L
Oct 19 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 D
Oct 15 Universitatea Craiova 1 - 1 D
Oct 10 FC Barcelona 0 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 14, 2026 Getafe 2 - 1 Villarreal Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Dec 6, 2025 Villarreal 2 - 0 Getafe Estadio de la Cerámica
Mar 30, 2025 Getafe 1 - 2 Villarreal Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Oct 20, 2024 Villarreal 1 - 1 Getafe Estadio de la Cerámica

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Villarreal Getafe
1.86
xG per match
0.76
1.11
xG against
1.25
16.4
Shots per match
10.5
60.7
Possession, %
36.8
15
Goals this season
5
63.64
Both teams scored, %
30
63.64
Over 2.5, %
30