Champions League Predictions

How to Read Our Champions League Predictions

Every Champions League match card shows two sets of numbers next to each other. Model is the probability calculated by the Sportmonks prediction model, the data provider behind our predictions. Market is the probability implied by the bookmaker odds we track for that fixture. When the two are close, the market and the model broadly agree. When they drift apart, it is worth opening the match and seeing why.

Under the badges you will find the 1X2 split: the chance of a home win (1), a draw (X) and an away win (2). The Pick is simply the outcome the model rates as most likely. It is not a guarantee and it is not a staking suggestion. A pick at 39% means the model still expects the other two outcomes to happen more often combined. In European matches clubs from different leagues meet, so the market estimate is a useful second opinion next to the model.

Predictions are refreshed once a day. During the day only the odds and the market estimate move, so if you come back in the evening you may see a different Market figure next to the same Model figure. All kick-off times are shown in UTC.

More detail on the How it works page.

Champions League Betting Markets: 1X2, BTTS and Over/Under 2.5

We cover three markets for Champions League matches, and only these three.

1X2 (match result). Home win, draw or away win, each with its own probability. In the league phase every point counts for the final table, which makes the draw a meaningful outcome to check.

Both teams to score (BTTS). The chance that both sides find the net. A high Yes figure points to an open game; a high No figure suggests at least one clean sheet is likely.

Over/Under 2.5 goals. The chance of three or more goals in the match, or two or fewer. It tells you about the expected tempo of the game regardless of who wins.

BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 predictions are not available for every fixture. Use the tabs above the list (All Picks, 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5) to see which matches have a prediction for each market.

About the Champions League

The UEFA Champions League is Europe's top club competition. In the league phase all 36 clubs sit in one table, and each club plays eight matches against eight different opponents.

The top eight clubs go straight to the round of 16. Clubs placed 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off for the remaining places, and clubs from 25th to 36th are eliminated. After that, the competition continues as knockout ties.

Our UCL predictions cover the league phase and the knockout rounds, wherever the provider publishes a prediction. Each UEFA Champions League prediction uses the same three markets as the domestic leagues. Want quick Champions League tips or Champions League picks? The Pick on each card is the short version; the percentages give you the detail.